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EARLY HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK

Local News 01 Feb, 2021 Follow News

EARLY HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK

With the 2020 hurricane season still a very vivid memory, weather experts are already warning that there might hardly be any respite this year.

In an early pre-season outlook, forecasters at Colorado State University who monitor trends in the tropical Atlantic Hurricane Zone are predicting another busy season this year.

However, it is not expected to be on the scale of the record-breaking 2020 season, which surpassed the 2005 season as the busiest on record.

There were 30 named storms including 13 hurricanes - six of which were major - and forced a switch from the standard naming system to the Greek alphabet for only the second time in history.

For this year, weather experts at Colorado State University are predicting a 35 per cent probability for an above-average season, with a 25 per cent possibility of an extremely active one.

That would translate into around 17 named storms, with about five likely to develop into major hurricanes.

A near-average season is projected at 30 per cent with just a 10 per cent prospect for a below-average season.

Cayman escaped the brunt of several ferocious storms that passed through our area last year with only some strong gusts, heavy rain and flooding but no serious damage.

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA) has released the names of 2021 storms from the letter A to W as; Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Elsa, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Julian, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor and Wanda.

In the event that more than 21 named tropical cyclones occur in the Atlantic Basin in a season, additional storms will take names from the Greek alphabet as happened last year.


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